How It Works

Prediction markets are one of the most efficient mechanisms for forecasting real-world events. But finding mispricings and executing trades consistently requires constant monitoring, statistical expertise, and disciplined risk management.

AI Predicted Wins automates this entire workflow. Our bot scans hundreds of active markets on Kalshi — the only CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange — every 15 minutes. When it identifies a potential opportunity, it deploys MiroFish, our multi-agent simulation engine.

MiroFish runs 1,000 independent AI agents, each with unique personas and analytical frameworks, through 30 rounds of structured debate. The result is a crowd-sourced probability estimate that captures diverse viewpoints — from behavioral economics to domain-specific expertise. When the AI's estimate diverges significantly from the market price, the bot sizes a position using Kelly Criterion and places a limit order.

Every trade is governed by strict risk controls: 5% maximum position size, 25% fractional Kelly sizing, maximum 3 correlated positions, and a 20% drawdown circuit breaker. The system is designed for sustainable, long-term performance — not gambling.